The Global Transmission of Volatility in the Foreign Exchange Market

Volatility Spillover of the Exchange Rate and the Global Economy on Iran Stock Market

Financial markets are one of the most fundamental markets in any country. In the financial markets, the securities market and the foreign exchange market are sensitive sectors. These two markets are affected by fluctuations and economic cycles so reflect economic changes rapidly. Changes in the returns of one market due to arbitrage conditions during time lead to changes in the returns of other...

The Influence of Structural Changes in Volatility on Shock Transmission and Volatility Spillover among Iranian Gold and Foreign Exchange Markets

Has Tehran Stock Market Calmed Down after Global Financial Crisis?Markov Switching GARCH Approach

We have introduced an early warning system for volatility regimes regarding Tehran Stock Exchange using Markov Switching GARCH approach. We have examined whether Tehran Stock Market has calmed down or more specifically, whether the surge in volatility during 2007-2010 global financial crises still affects stock return volatility in Iran.  Doing so, we have used a regime switching GARCH model.  ...

Impact of Terrorism, Political System and Exchange Rate Fluctuations on Stock Market Volatility

Terrorism, political system instability and currency rate fluctuations are the three most evident issues of 21st century. In this study, comparative analysis is performed to check the impact of all these issues on PSX Volatility. EGARCH (1,1) approach is used on four different kinds of data collected from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2015. Terrorist events, FX return fluctuations with rest...

Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Capital Inflows in Nigeria (1990-2016), Cointegration, DOLS and Granger Causality Approach

The aim of this study is to examine the nexus between exchange rate volatility and foreign capital inflows in Nigeria. The results from the past empirical studies about this subject matter have been controversial, which has created a gap in the literature. The study extracted data from CBN Statistical Bulletin and UNCTAD investment report from 1990-2016. Consequently, the findings that emerged ...

Inevitability of Losing Most Traders in the Foreign Exchange Market: New Evidence

 The foreign exchange market (FX market) accounts for 40% of the total volume of the world’s e-commerce by its own. Based on statistics, sometimes up to 90 per cent of the traders lose their total capital in this market just within six months to one year and leave this market. The probability of loss in the FX market can be estimated by probability theory. The present paper intends to demonst...